1. Joint Modeling
1.1 Trace plots for convergence check
The current MCMC setting is:
- 300000 iteration;
- 200000 burn-in;
- 100 thinning.
1.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check
## Potential scale reduction factors:
##
## Point est. Upper C.I.
## HDevsum 1.013 1.08
## LDevsum 1.016 1.02
## dh0 0.992 1.00
## dh1 0.994 1.01
## dl0 2.242 4.93
## dl1 1.018 1.04
## dl2 1.119 1.46
## dl3 3.968 9.00
##
## Multivariate psrf
##
## 2.72
1.3 ACF Plots
Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:
- Total deviance;
- Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.
1.4 WAIC results
| LevelH | LevelL | |
|---|---|---|
| DIC | 1232.80062 | 22803.7627 |
| DIC3 | 1162.49887 | 20640.9861 |
| PWAIC | 43.86491 | 993.4114 |
| WAIC | 1190.09517 | 21023.4924 |
2. Separate Modeling of High-Level
2.1 Trace plots for convergence check
The current MCMC setting is:
- 300000 iteration;
- 200000 burn-in;
- 100 thinning.
2.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check
## Potential scale reduction factors:
##
## Point est. Upper C.I.
## HDevsum 1.00 1.01
## LDevsum 1.01 1.03
## dh0 1.02 1.07
## dh1 1.02 1.06
## dl0 1.36 2.37
## dl1 1.80 3.49
## dl2 1.01 1.07
## dl3 2.46 4.91
##
## Multivariate psrf
##
## 1.89
2.3 ACF Plots
Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:
- Total deviance;
- Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.
2.4 WAIC results
| H0a | |
|---|---|
| DIC | 1220.58844 |
| DIC3 | 1158.83229 |
| PWAIC | 43.34125 |
| WAIC | 1186.21081 |
3. Separate Modeling for Low-level
3.1 Trace plots for convergence check
The current MCMC setting is:
- 300000 iteration;
- 200000 burn-in;
- 100 thinning.
3.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check
## Potential scale reduction factors:
##
## Point est. Upper C.I.
## Devsum 1.01 1.05
## LDevsum 1.01 1.03
## dl0 1.37 2.49
## dl1 2.57 5.95
## dl2 1.02 1.05
## dl3 2.43 6.74
##
## Multivariate psrf
##
## 1.87
3.3 ACF Plots
Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:
- Total deviance;
- Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.
3.4 WAIC results
| L7 | |
|---|---|
| DIC | 23921.990 |
| DIC3 | 21168.527 |
| PWAIC | 1536.806 |
| WAIC | 21915.208 |